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film news

Thursty's Stinky Box Office: Nicolas Cage AGAIN?! Edition

Posted by Thurston McQ on Friday, February 25, 2011

February done went and got you thinking you were out of the box office slump for a while.  But like a freakish mid winter heat wave that wakes up every damned chigger in the universe just long enough to sniff out your chocolate-sweetened, won't-be-any-bugs-around-for-months sweat, February has thrown you a final curve ball.  (I'm pretty sure I just sabotaged my own metaphor.  Ah, well.)

It's not really a curve ball.  It's just more movies you don't really have any interest in seeing.  There's Hall Pass, I guess.  Do you want to see Hall Pass?  Really?  Don't bullshit me, Man.  You don't want to see Hall Pass.  It *is* a Farrelly Brothers movie, somaybe that's why you want to see it.  What?  You didn't know it was a Farrelly Brothers movie?  That's probably because they haven't really been pushing that.  They used to.  It used to be a big deal.  I guess they stop advertising the directors' names when the movies to which their names are attached stop making money and cease to win any critical favor.  (Doesn't explain M. Night Shyamalan.  Then again, what does?)

I'm just going to assume you don't have much interest in another Nicolas Cage movie so soon after the last one.  He was only in two movies last year, so I suppose it's time for him to flood the market with his movies again.  Seems like he does it every other year.  He was in four the year before last.  The year before that?  Just one.  The year before that?  Four.  This year is one of the heavy years (two are out already, and two more are scheduled to come out beforeyear's end). 

On the other hand, Hall Pass is Owen Wilson's third movie in as many months, and he has four more to come before 2011 is out.

If you're waiting for me to bring up the week's other major releases, you're waiting in vain.  February gave you a couple weekends in a row of 3+ semi-interesting-looking major releases, and it probably started to feel like that was the new norm.  Nope.  February is giving (in comparison to January, at least), but it's not that giving.  

The moneymakers from the last couple of weekends aren't quite ready to give up the ghost, so both this weekend's new releases are going to have a hard time coming out on top.  Hall Pass has a better chance than Drive Angry. (That's the Nicolas Cage movie's title.  I wasn't going to mention it by name, but I figured you'd appreciate knowing what it was called so you'd know to avoid it.  Unless you really want to see it.  And maybe you do.  I have no idea why you would.  It's in 3D.  That's incentive, right?  The kids love the 3D!)

This weekend's predictions:

1.  Hall Pass   $16.00
2.  Gnomeo and Juliet   $14.25
3.  Unknown   $13.75
4.  Drive Angry   $11.50m
5.  Just Go with It   $10.25m
6.  I Am Number Four   $9.50m
7. Big Mommas   $7.25m
8.  Gerhart Hauptmann's Der Biberpelz  $7.00m
9.  The King's Speech   $6.75m
10.  True Grit   $2.25m

Disagree?  Let me know by 11:59 EST Friday night.  If your predictions come closer than mine to the actual weekend grosses, I will celebrate your superior skills in the Grovel Pit.

Quasar
Location:
Posts: 7588
Posted: 13 years 12 weeks ago

Aren't you sabotaging your own article by saying no one should want to see Hall Pass or Drive Angry when, in fact, you'll be seeing both opening weekend?

Faster and faster, a nightmare we ride. Who'll take the reins when the miracle dies? Faster and faster till everything dies. Killing is our way of keeping alive. - Virgin Steele, Blood and Gasoline
Jakester
Location:
Posts: 5753
Posted: 13 years 12 weeks ago

Drive Angry looks like so much damn fun.  It is, however, Nic Cage, so it could go either way.

Hall Pass looks stupid, but I've never been a big Farrelly Brothers fan, so that's not surprising.  Still, Drew McWeeney gave it a more or less positive review, and we seem to be on the same page more often than not.

Regardless, I think we'll end up w/

1.  Hall Pass

2.  Drive Angry

3.  Gnomeo & Juliet

4.  Unknown

5.  Bieber Fans

Richard Gozinya, Harold Snatch and Wilbur Jizz. Together we are the law firm Gozinya, Snatch and Jizz.
The Swollen Goi...
Location:
Posts: 14343
Posted: 13 years 12 weeks ago

For your number 5, Jakester, I believe you meant "Gerhart Hauptmann's Der Biberpelz."

Drakemd
Location:
Posts: 1905
Posted: 13 years 12 weeks ago

I'll take a shot at the title.  I coulda been a contender.

1. Hall Pass $19M

2. Unknown $16.5M

3. Gnomeo and Juliet $15M

4. Drive Angry $14.25M

5. I Am Number Four $13M

6. Just Go With It $11.75M

7. Big Mommas $9M

8. The Kings Speech $6.25M

9. The Roommate $2.5M

10. Justin Bieber $1.75M

Turn your head and cough!
Jakester
Location:
Posts: 5753
Posted: 13 years 12 weeks ago

en francais, s'il vous-plait, Goiter. Je ne parle pas le Nazi.

Richard Gozinya, Harold Snatch and Wilbur Jizz. Together we are the law firm Gozinya, Snatch and Jizz.
Quasar
Location:
Posts: 7588
Posted: 13 years 12 weeks ago

Am I the only one noticing the obvious error?: no one put I Am Number Four at #4.

Faster and faster, a nightmare we ride. Who'll take the reins when the miracle dies? Faster and faster till everything dies. Killing is our way of keeping alive. - Virgin Steele, Blood and Gasoline
The Swollen Goi...
Location:
Posts: 14343
Posted: 13 years 12 weeks ago

According to Ebert, it's two times the number two.

 

atrejub
Location:
Posts: 739
Posted: 13 years 12 weeks ago

Quasar wrote:

Aren't you sabotaging your own article by saying no one should want to see Hall Pass or Drive Angry when, in fact, you'll be seeing both opening weekend?

The thought of seeing either one horrified both of us, so our movie this weekend (we're too poor to see more than that at the moment) was The Eagle. It was pretty good.

atrejub
Location:
Posts: 739
Posted: 13 years 11 weeks ago

Weekend Results

I am Number Four was #4! Wow!

The Actual Box Office:
1. Hall Pass, $13.54
2. Gnomeo , 13.4
3. Unknown, 12.57
4. I am Number Four, 11.02
5. Just Go With It, 10.53
6. Justin Bieber, 9.39
7. Big Mommas, 7.62
8. King's Speech, 7.34
9. Drive Angry, 5.19
10. True Grit, 1.95
11. Roommate, 1.94
12. Eagle, 1.59

Thursty's Results
1. Hall Pass, 84.63%
2. Gnomeo and Juliet, 94.04%
3. Unknown, 91.42%
4. Drive Angry, 45.13%
5. Just Go with It, 97.34%
6. I Am Number Four, 86.21%
7. Big Mommas, 95.14%
8. Gerhart Hauptmann's Der Biberpelz, 74.55%
9. The King's Speech, 91.96%
10. True Grit, 86.67%

Average: 84.71%

Drakemd's Results
1. Hall Pass, 71.26%
2. Unknown, 76.18%
3. Gnomeo and Juliet, 89.33%
4. Drive Angry, 36.42%
5. I Am Number Four, 84.77%
6. Just Go With It, 89.62%
7. Big Mommas, 84.67%
8. The Kings Speech, 85.15%
9. The Roommate, 77.60%
10. Justin Bieber, 18.64%

Average: 71.36%

Looks like no groveling for Ol' Thursty this week. Will no worthy challenger step forward?